| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8/29/2026 | #264 | VMI | 0-7 | 10 | @ Idaho State | 38 | W | Idaho State (-35.71) | 100% | -7.71 | ||||||
| 9/5/2026 | Idaho State | 29 | #107 | @ Utah State | 2-4 | 17 | W | Utah State (-14.40) | 100% | 26.40 | ||||||
| 9/12/2026 | #245 | San Diego | 3-4 | 17 | @ Idaho State | 59 | W | Idaho State (-22.18) | 100% | 19.82 | ||||||
| 9/27/2026 | Idaho State | 28 | #177 | @ Southern Utah | 3-4 | 24 | W | Southern Utah (+8.10) | 100% | -4.10 | ||||||
| 10/4/2026 | #100 | Northern Arizona | 6-2 | 38 | @ Idaho State | 31 | L | Idaho State (-10.55) | 0% | -17.55 | ||||||
| 10/10/2026 | #190 | Cal Poly | 3-4 | 25 | @ Idaho State | 24 | L | Idaho State (-12.48) | 0% | -13.48 | ||||||
| 10/17/2026 | Idaho State | 20 | #149 | @ Weber State | 5-3 | 27 | L | Weber State (+5.22) | 0% | -12.22 | ||||||
| 10/24/2026 | #184 | Portland State | 2-5 | @ Idaho State | W | Idaho State (-13.26) | 79% | |||||||||
| 10/31/2026 | Idaho State | #237 | @ Utah Tech | 0-7 | W | Utah Tech (+12.07) | 77% | |||||||||
| 11/7/2026 | #84 | Montana State | 6-1 | @ Idaho State | L | Idaho State (+9.41) | 28% | |||||||||
| 11/15/2026 | Idaho State | #130 | @ Montana | 5-3 | L | Montana (-7.80) | 31% | |||||||||
| 11/21/2026 | #152 | Idaho | 2-5 | @ Idaho State | W | Idaho State (-3.37) | 58% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 17-538.0% 26-629.7% 38-418.9% 45-79.3% 59-33.1% 64-81.0% Chance of winning all 5 remaining games: 3.1% | ||||||||||||||||