| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8/29/2026 | Idaho | 34 | #190 | @ Cal Poly | 3-4 | 38 | L | Cal Poly (-2.74) | 0% | -1.26 | ||||||
| 9/4/2026 | Idaho | 14 | #15 | @ Utah | 6-0 | 66 | L | Utah (-42.84) | 0% | -9.16 | ||||||
| 9/12/2026 | #116 | Lamar | 5-2 | 23 | @ Idaho | 17 | L | Idaho (-3.41) | 0% | -9.41 | ||||||
| 9/19/2026 | #121 | Abilene Christian | 4-4 | 41 | @ Idaho | 39 | L | Idaho (+1.42) | 0% | -0.58 | ||||||
| 10/3/2026 | #84 | Montana State | 6-1 | 34 | @ Idaho | 35 | W | Idaho (+15.83) | 100% | 16.83 | ||||||
| 10/10/2026 | Idaho | 27 | #149 | @ Weber State | 5-3 | 38 | L | Weber State (+3.60) | 0% | -14.60 | ||||||
| 10/17/2026 | Idaho | 42 | #130 | @ Montana | 5-3 | 35 | W | Montana (-13.42) | 100% | 20.42 | ||||||
| 10/24/2026 | #177 | Southern Utah | 3-4 | @ Idaho | W | Idaho (-5.14) | 63% | |||||||||
| 10/31/2026 | Idaho | #184 | @ Portland State | 2-5 | W | Portland State (+8.41) | 70% | |||||||||
| 11/7/2026 | #186 | Eastern Washington | 2-6 | @ Idaho | W | Idaho (-6.39) | 65% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | #181 | UC Davis | 4-3 | @ Idaho | W | Idaho (-9.26) | 72% | |||||||||
| 11/21/2026 | Idaho | #164 | @ Idaho State | 4-3 | L | Idaho State (-3.37) | 42% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 15-735.5% 26-628.6% 34-820.8% 47-58.5% 53-95.9% 62-100.6% Chance of winning all 5 remaining games: 8.5% | ||||||||||||||||