| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/5/2026 | #235 | Lafayette | 2-4 | 7 | @ UConn | 56 | W | UConn (-20.42) | 100% | 28.58 | ||||||
| 9/12/2026 | #119 | Maryland | 2-5 | 38 | @ UConn | 14 | L | UConn (-1.84) | 0% | -25.84 | ||||||
| 9/19/2026 | UConn | 48 | #189 | @ Southern Miss | 1-5 | 20 | W | Southern Miss (+1.05) | 100% | 26.95 | ||||||
| 9/26/2026 | UConn | 21 | #115 | @ Miami (OH) | 4-3 | 24 | L | Miami (OH) (+1.39) | 0% | -4.39 | ||||||
| 10/3/2026 | ✓ | #118 | Syracuse | 2-4 | 42 | @ UConn | 41 | L | UConn (-1.67) | 0% | -2.67 | |||||
| 10/10/2026 | UConn | 34 | #140 | @ Temple | 2-5 | 20 | W | Temple (-4.87) | 100% | 18.87 | ||||||
| 10/23/2026 | #143 | Massachusetts | 4-3 | @ UConn | W | UConn (-11.97) | 77% | |||||||||
| 10/31/2026 | UConn | #65 | @ Air Force | 5-1 | L | Air Force (-6.25) | 35% | |||||||||
| 11/7/2026 | #29 | North Carolina | 4-2 | @ UConn | L | UConn (+8.51) | 30% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | #26 | James Madison | 7-0 | @ UConn | L | UConn (+12.03) | 23% | |||||||||
| 11/21/2026 | #160 | Old Dominion | 2-5 | @ UConn | W | UConn (-9.47) | 72% | |||||||||
| 11/28/2026 | UConn | #120 | @ Wyoming | 4-3 | W | Wyoming (+5.21) | 63% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 16-635.3% 25-724.2% 37-523.9% 44-87.5% 58-47.4% 63-90.8% Chance of winning all 6 remaining games: 0.8% | ||||||||||||||||