| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/6/2026 | #33 | Wisconsin | 4-2 | 13 | Notre Dame | 41 | ✓ | W | Notre Dame (-17.29) | 100% | 10.71 | |||||
| 9/12/2026 | #142 | Rice | 1-6 | 0 | @ Notre Dame | 52 | W | Notre Dame (-40.84) | 100% | 11.16 | ||||||
| 9/19/2026 | #79 | Michigan State | 2-5 | 10 | @ Notre Dame | 27 | W | Notre Dame (-24.36) | 100% | -7.36 | ||||||
| 9/26/2026 | Notre Dame | 49 | #56 | @ Purdue | 3-4 | 10 | W | Purdue (+24.05) | 100% | 14.95 | ||||||
| 10/3/2026 | Notre Dame | 37 | #29 | @ North Carolina | 4-2 | 26 | W | North Carolina (+21.78) | 100% | -10.78 | ||||||
| 10/10/2026 | #103 | Stanford | 3-4 | 7 | @ Notre Dame | 58 | W | Notre Dame (-42.83) | 100% | 8.17 | ||||||
| 10/17/2026 | Notre Dame | 24 | #7 | @ BYU | 6-0 | 28 | L | BYU (+9.98) | 0% | -13.98 | ||||||
| 10/31/2026 | Notre Dame | #125 | Navy | 2-4 | ✓ | W | Navy (+26.80) | 94% | ||||||||
| 11/8/2026 | #3 | Miami | 6-0 | @ Notre Dame | W | Notre Dame (-5.39) | 63% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | #101 | Boston College | 3-3 | @ Notre Dame | W | Notre Dame (-34.52) | 97% | |||||||||
| 11/22/2026 | #44 | SMU | 5-1 | @ Notre Dame | W | Notre Dame (-24.69) | 92% | |||||||||
| 11/28/2026 | Notre Dame | #118 | @ Syracuse | 2-4 | W | Syracuse (+23.24) | 91% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 111-148.1% 210-241.7% 39-39.3% 48-40.9% 57-5<0.1% 66-6<0.1% Chance of winning all 5 remaining games: 48.1% | ||||||||||||||||