| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/5/2026 | UL Monroe | 13 | #28 | @ Mississippi State | 4-2 | 62 | L | Mississippi State (-24.73) | 0% | -24.27 | ||||||
| 9/12/2026 | UL Monroe | 20 | #106 | @ UAB | 4-3 | 26 | L | UAB (-15.60) | 0% | 9.60 | ||||||
| 9/19/2026 | #153 | SE Louisiana | 4-3 | 38 | @ UL Monroe | 35 | L | UL Monroe (-0.77) | 0% | -3.77 | ||||||
| 9/26/2026 | #97 | Florida Atlantic | 4-2 | 45 | @ UL Monroe | 17 | L | UL Monroe (+6.94) | 0% | -21.06 | ||||||
| 10/3/2026 | UL Monroe | 35 | #67 | @ South Alabama | 4-2 | 52 | L | South Alabama (-17.23) | 0% | 0.23 | ||||||
| 10/17/2026 | #51 | Louisiana Tech | 4-2 | 24 | @ UL Monroe | 0 | L | UL Monroe (+15.97) | 0% | -8.03 | ||||||
| 10/24/2026 | UL Monroe | #126 | @ Troy | 3-3 | L | Troy (-12.38) | 22% | |||||||||
| 10/31/2026 | #189 | Southern Miss | 1-5 | @ UL Monroe | L | UL Monroe (+4.00) | 40% | |||||||||
| 11/7/2026 | UL Monroe | #124 | @ Arkansas State | 3-4 | L | Arkansas State (-19.83) | 12% | |||||||||
| 11/13/2026 | #54 | Louisiana | 5-2 | @ UL Monroe | L | UL Monroe (+16.74) | 16% | |||||||||
| 11/21/2026 | UL Monroe | #123 | @ App State | 4-2 | L | App State (-13.58) | 20% | |||||||||
| 11/28/2026 | #146 | Marshall | 3-3 | @ UL Monroe | L | UL Monroe (+2.75) | 43% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 11-1135.8% 22-1031.6% 30-1215.5% 43-913.7% 54-83.1% 65-70.3% Chance of winning all 6 remaining games: <0.1% | ||||||||||||||||