| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/5/2026 | #250 | Alcorn State | 2-4 | 3 | @ Southern Miss | 49 | W | Southern Miss (-28.37) | 100% | 17.63 | ||||||
| 9/12/2026 | Southern Miss | 8 | #27 | @ Auburn | 4-2 | 43 | L | Auburn (-14.20) | 0% | -20.80 | ||||||
| 9/19/2026 | #132 | UConn | 3-3 | 48 | @ Southern Miss | 20 | L | Southern Miss (+1.05) | 0% | -26.95 | ||||||
| 9/26/2026 | ✓ | Southern Miss | 21 | #78 | @ Tulane | 3-3 | 24 | L | Tulane (-17.08) | 0% | 14.08 | |||||
| 10/7/2026 | Southern Miss | 34 | #126 | @ Troy | 3-3 | 55 | L | Troy (-5.46) | 0% | -15.54 | ||||||
| 10/17/2026 | #124 | Arkansas State | 3-4 | 23 | @ Southern Miss | 13 | L | Southern Miss (+4.22) | 0% | -5.78 | ||||||
| 10/24/2026 | #54 | Louisiana | 5-2 | @ Southern Miss | L | Southern Miss (+10.51) | 26% | |||||||||
| 10/31/2026 | Southern Miss | #196 | @ UL Monroe | 0-6 | W | UL Monroe (+4.00) | 60% | |||||||||
| 11/6/2026 | #26 | James Madison | 7-0 | @ Southern Miss | L | Southern Miss (+20.63) | 11% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | Southern Miss | #51 | @ Louisiana Tech | 4-2 | L | Louisiana Tech (-18.26) | 14% | |||||||||
| 11/21/2026 | #67 | South Alabama | 4-2 | @ Southern Miss | L | Southern Miss (+6.87) | 33% | |||||||||
| 11/28/2026 | Southern Miss | #160 | @ Old Dominion | 2-5 | L | Old Dominion (-4.46) | 39% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 13-935.3% 22-1030.2% 34-819.4% 41-119.2% 55-75.3% 66-60.7% Chance of winning all 6 remaining games: <0.1% | ||||||||||||||||