| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/5/2026 | #153 | SE Louisiana | 4-3 | 14 | @ South Alabama | 39 | W | South Alabama (-8.84) | 100% | 16.16 | ||||||
| 9/12/2026 | South Alabama | 24 | #78 | @ Tulane | 3-3 | 28 | L | Tulane (-12.56) | 0% | 8.56 | ||||||
| 9/19/2026 | #73 | Ohio | 5-2 | 36 | @ South Alabama | 41 | W | South Alabama (-2.70) | 100% | 2.30 | ||||||
| 9/26/2026 | ✓ | South Alabama | 21 | #6 | @ Kentucky | 6-1 | 45 | L | Kentucky (-19.41) | 0% | -4.59 | |||||
| 10/3/2026 | #196 | UL Monroe | 0-6 | 35 | @ South Alabama | 52 | W | South Alabama (-17.23) | 100% | -0.23 | ||||||
| 10/8/2026 | South Alabama | 56 | #124 | @ Arkansas State | 3-4 | 49 | W | Arkansas State (-4.61) | 100% | 11.61 | ||||||
| 10/20/2026 | South Alabama | #146 | @ Marshall | 3-3 | W | Marshall (+8.24) | 70% | |||||||||
| 10/31/2026 | #51 | Louisiana Tech | 4-2 | @ South Alabama | L | South Alabama (+3.73) | 41% | |||||||||
| 11/7/2026 | South Alabama | #54 | @ Louisiana | 5-2 | L | Louisiana (-9.01) | 29% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | #126 | Troy | 3-3 | @ South Alabama | W | South Alabama (-6.31) | 65% | |||||||||
| 11/21/2026 | South Alabama | #189 | @ Southern Miss | 1-5 | W | Southern Miss (+6.87) | 67% | |||||||||
| 11/27/2026 | #123 | App State | 4-2 | @ South Alabama | W | South Alabama (-7.36) | 68% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 17-531.3% 28-430.4% 36-616.8% 49-314.1% 55-74.5% 610-22.4% Chance of winning all 6 remaining games: 2.4% | ||||||||||||||||