| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/5/2026 | #253 | Northwestern State | 0-6 | 6 | @ Louisiana Tech | 80 | W | Louisiana Tech (-44.42) | 100% | 29.58 | ||||||
| 9/12/2026 | Louisiana Tech | 14 | #5 | @ LSU | 5-2 | 45 | L | LSU (-16.38) | 0% | -14.62 | ||||||
| 9/19/2026 | Louisiana Tech | 19 | #36 | @ Baylor | 4-2 | 36 | L | Baylor (-10.70) | 0% | -6.30 | ||||||
| 10/3/2026 | #52 | Army | 4-2 | 29 | ✓ | @ Louisiana Tech | 31 | W | Louisiana Tech (+1.25) | 100% | 3.25 | |||||
| 10/10/2026 | #54 | Louisiana | 5-2 | 31 | @ Louisiana Tech | 32 | W | Louisiana Tech (-5.62) | 100% | -4.62 | ||||||
| 10/17/2026 | Louisiana Tech | 24 | #196 | @ UL Monroe | 0-6 | 0 | W | UL Monroe (+15.97) | 100% | 8.03 | ||||||
| 10/24/2026 | #160 | Old Dominion | 2-5 | @ Louisiana Tech | W | Louisiana Tech (-16.17) | 83% | |||||||||
| 10/31/2026 | Louisiana Tech | #67 | @ South Alabama | 4-2 | W | South Alabama (+3.73) | 59% | |||||||||
| 11/7/2026 | Louisiana Tech | #126 | @ Troy | 3-3 | W | Troy (+8.46) | 70% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | #189 | Southern Miss | 1-5 | @ Louisiana Tech | W | Louisiana Tech (-18.26) | 86% | |||||||||
| 11/21/2026 | #124 | Arkansas State | 3-4 | @ Louisiana Tech | W | Louisiana Tech (-10.61) | 74% | |||||||||
| 11/28/2026 | Louisiana Tech | #94 | @ Georgia Southern | 3-4 | W | Georgia Southern (+0.32) | 51% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 18-433.8% 29-331.4% 37-517.9% 410-211.2% 56-65.0% 65-70.7% Chance of winning all 6 remaining games: 11.2% | ||||||||||||||||