| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/6/2026 | #116 | Lamar | 5-2 | 7 | @ Louisiana | 38 | W | Louisiana (-8.67) | 100% | 22.33 | ||||||
| 9/13/2026 | Louisiana | 30 | #23 | @ USC | 6-1 | 49 | L | USC (-25.17) | 0% | 6.17 | ||||||
| 9/20/2026 | #106 | UAB | 4-3 | 14 | @ Louisiana | 21 | W | Louisiana (-9.79) | 100% | -2.79 | ||||||
| 9/26/2026 | Louisiana | 34 | #176 | @ Charlotte | 1-6 | 7 | W | Charlotte (+9.02) | 100% | 17.98 | ||||||
| 10/3/2026 | #124 | Arkansas State | 3-4 | 20 | @ Louisiana | 23 | W | Louisiana (-6.61) | 100% | -3.61 | ||||||
| 10/10/2026 | Louisiana | 31 | #51 | @ Louisiana Tech | 4-2 | 32 | L | Louisiana Tech (-5.62) | 0% | 4.62 | ||||||
| 10/17/2026 | #126 | Troy | 3-3 | 6 | @ Louisiana | 33 | W | Louisiana (-5.06) | 100% | 21.94 | ||||||
| 10/24/2026 | Louisiana | #189 | @ Southern Miss | 1-5 | W | Southern Miss (+10.51) | 74% | |||||||||
| 11/7/2026 | #67 | South Alabama | 4-2 | @ Louisiana | W | Louisiana (-9.01) | 71% | |||||||||
| 11/13/2026 | Louisiana | #196 | @ UL Monroe | 0-6 | W | UL Monroe (+16.74) | 84% | |||||||||
| 11/21/2026 | #157 | Coastal Carolina | 2-5 | @ Louisiana | W | Louisiana (-14.67) | 81% | |||||||||
| 11/28/2026 | Louisiana | #91 | @ Georgia State | 4-2 | L | Georgia State (-0.81) | 48% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 19-339.1% 28-430.7% 310-217.3% 47-511.0% 56-61.8% 65-70.1% Chance of winning all 5 remaining games: 17.3% | ||||||||||||||||