| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8/29/2026 | #174 | Hawai'i | 1-6 | 27 | @ Stanford | 37 | W | Stanford (-4.42) | 100% | 5.58 | ||||||
| 9/5/2026 | #3 | Miami | 6-0 | 45 | @ Stanford | 6 | L | Stanford (+15.20) | 0% | -23.80 | ||||||
| 9/19/2026 | Stanford | 7 | #48 | @ Duke | 4-2 | 35 | L | Duke (-13.29) | 0% | -14.71 | ||||||
| 9/27/2026 | #96 | Georgia Tech | 2-4 | 27 | @ Stanford | 34 | W | Stanford (+8.03) | 100% | 15.03 | ||||||
| 10/3/2026 | Stanford | 3 | #19 | @ Wake Forest | 6-1 | 57 | L | Wake Forest (-11.59) | 0% | -42.41 | ||||||
| 10/10/2026 | Stanford | 7 | #2 | @ Notre Dame | 6-1 | 58 | L | Notre Dame (-42.83) | 0% | -8.17 | ||||||
| 10/17/2026 | #236 | Elon | 3-4 | 7 | @ Stanford | 34 | W | Stanford (-16.27) | 100% | 10.73 | ||||||
| 10/24/2026 | #77 | NC State | 3-3 | @ Stanford | L | Stanford (+9.94) | 27% | |||||||||
| 10/31/2026 | Stanford | #40 | @ Louisville | 4-3 | L | Louisville (-27.58) | 6% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | Stanford | #83 | @ Virginia Tech | 5-2 | L | Virginia Tech (-16.47) | 16% | |||||||||
| 11/21/2026 | Stanford | #95 | @ California | 3-4 | L | California (-9.67) | 28% | |||||||||
| 11/28/2026 | #44 | SMU | 5-1 | @ Stanford | L | Stanford (+13.95) | 20% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 14-841.9% 23-933.4% 35-719.9% 46-64.4% 57-50.4% 68-4<0.1% Chance of winning all 5 remaining games: <0.1% | ||||||||||||||||