| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/5/2026 | #242 | Norfolk State | 2-3 | 10 | @ Old Dominion | 31 | W | Old Dominion (-48.75) | 100% | -27.75 | ||||||
| 9/12/2026 | Old Dominion | 21 | #83 | @ Virginia Tech | 5-2 | 44 | L | Virginia Tech (-7.01) | 0% | -15.99 | ||||||
| 9/19/2026 | #128 | East Carolina | 3-3 | 20 | @ Old Dominion | 17 | L | Old Dominion (-2.58) | 0% | -5.58 | ||||||
| 9/26/2026 | #26 | James Madison | 7-0 | 46 | ✓ | @ Old Dominion | 20 | L | Old Dominion (+11.52) | 0% | -14.48 | |||||
| 10/3/2026 | Old Dominion | 10 | #91 | @ Georgia State | 4-2 | 42 | L | Georgia State (+1.00) | 0% | -33.00 | ||||||
| 10/10/2026 | Old Dominion | 10 | #123 | @ App State | 4-2 | 3 | W | App State (-7.43) | 100% | 14.43 | ||||||
| 10/15/2026 | ✓ | #94 | Georgia Southern | 3-4 | 23 | @ Old Dominion | 15 | L | Old Dominion (+1.98) | 0% | -6.02 | |||||
| 10/24/2026 | Old Dominion | #51 | @ Louisiana Tech | 4-2 | L | Louisiana Tech (-16.17) | 17% | |||||||||
| 10/31/2026 | #146 | Marshall | 3-3 | @ Old Dominion | W | Old Dominion (-5.61) | 64% | |||||||||
| 11/7/2026 | Old Dominion | #157 | @ Coastal Carolina | 2-5 | L | Coastal Carolina (-0.46) | 49% | |||||||||
| 11/21/2026 | Old Dominion | #132 | @ UConn | 3-3 | L | UConn (-9.47) | 28% | |||||||||
| 11/28/2026 | #189 | Southern Miss | 1-5 | @ Old Dominion | W | Old Dominion (-4.46) | 61% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 14-837.0% 25-727.9% 33-921.2% 46-68.7% 52-104.4% 67-50.9% Chance of winning all 5 remaining games: 0.9% | ||||||||||||||||