| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/5/2026 | Marshall | 0 | #61 | @ Penn State | 3-4 | 45 | L | Penn State (-23.54) | 0% | -21.46 | ||||||
| 9/12/2026 | #159 | Middle Tennessee | 3-3 | 26 | @ Marshall | 28 | W | Marshall (-6.31) | 100% | -4.31 | ||||||
| 9/19/2026 | Marshall | 30 | #163 | @ Missouri State | 2-4 | 24 | W | Missouri State (-3.81) | 100% | 9.81 | ||||||
| 9/26/2026 | #217 | Gardner-Webb | 2-6 | 35 | ✓ | @ Marshall | 36 | W | Marshall (-11.73) | 100% | -10.73 | |||||
| 10/3/2026 | Marshall | 17 | #26 | @ James Madison | 7-0 | 45 | L | James Madison (-31.59) | 0% | 3.59 | ||||||
| 10/10/2026 | #157 | Coastal Carolina | 2-5 | 27 | @ Marshall | 21 | L | Marshall (-1.80) | 0% | -7.80 | ||||||
| 10/20/2026 | #67 | South Alabama | 4-2 | @ Marshall | L | Marshall (+8.24) | 30% | |||||||||
| 10/31/2026 | Marshall | #160 | @ Old Dominion | 2-5 | L | Old Dominion (-5.61) | 36% | |||||||||
| 11/7/2026 | Marshall | #94 | @ Georgia Southern | 3-4 | L | Georgia Southern (-15.86) | 17% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | #123 | App State | 4-2 | @ Marshall | L | Marshall (+3.41) | 42% | |||||||||
| 11/21/2026 | #91 | Georgia State | 4-2 | @ Marshall | L | Marshall (+12.69) | 22% | |||||||||
| 11/28/2026 | Marshall | #196 | @ UL Monroe | 0-6 | W | UL Monroe (+2.75) | 57% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 15-734.5% 24-825.5% 36-623.1% 47-58.1% 53-97.2% 68-41.4% Chance of winning all 6 remaining games: 0.1% | ||||||||||||||||