| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/5/2026 | #63 | Liberty | 5-1 | 13 | @ James Madison | 20 | W | James Madison (-23.31) | 100% | -16.31 | ||||||
| 9/12/2026 | #255 | Wagner | 0-6 | 3 | @ James Madison | 87 | W | James Madison (-52.28) | 100% | 31.72 | ||||||
| 9/20/2026 | James Madison | 26 | #81 | @ San Diego State | 3-4 | 13 | W | San Diego State (+9.56) | 100% | 3.44 | ||||||
| 9/26/2026 | James Madison | 46 | ✓ | #160 | @ Old Dominion | 2-5 | 20 | W | Old Dominion (+11.52) | 100% | 14.48 | |||||
| 10/3/2026 | #146 | Marshall | 3-3 | 17 | @ James Madison | 45 | W | James Madison (-31.59) | 100% | -3.59 | ||||||
| 10/10/2026 | James Madison | 27 | #94 | @ Georgia Southern | 3-4 | 24 | W | Georgia Southern (+15.91) | 100% | -12.91 | ||||||
| 10/17/2026 | #91 | Georgia State | 4-2 | 22 | @ James Madison | 49 | W | James Madison (-13.22) | 100% | 13.78 | ||||||
| 10/22/2026 | James Madison | #123 | @ App State | 4-2 | W | App State (+16.29) | 84% | |||||||||
| 10/29/2026 | #126 | Troy | 3-3 | @ James Madison | W | James Madison (-23.60) | 91% | |||||||||
| 11/6/2026 | James Madison | #189 | @ Southern Miss | 1-5 | W | Southern Miss (+20.63) | 89% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | James Madison | #132 | @ UConn | 3-3 | W | UConn (+12.03) | 77% | |||||||||
| 11/28/2026 | #157 | Coastal Carolina | 2-5 | @ James Madison | W | James Madison (-29.21) | 95% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 112-049.5% 211-138.2% 310-210.9% 49-31.4% 58-40.1% 67-5<0.1% Chance of winning all 5 remaining games: 49.5% | ||||||||||||||||