| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/4/2026 | #230 | North Carolina A&T | 3-5 | 10 | @ Georgia State | 59 | W | Georgia State (-27.77) | 100% | 21.23 | ||||||
| 9/12/2026 | Georgia State | 31 | #172 | @ Kennesaw State | 1-5 | 17 | W | Kennesaw State (-15.29) | 100% | 29.29 | ||||||
| 9/19/2026 | Georgia State | 30 | #53 | @ UCF | 3-3 | 44 | L | UCF (-15.50) | 0% | 1.50 | ||||||
| 9/26/2026 | #175 | Northern Illinois | 0-6 | 14 | @ Georgia State | 35 | W | Georgia State (-8.09) | 100% | 12.91 | ||||||
| 10/3/2026 | #160 | Old Dominion | 2-5 | 10 | @ Georgia State | 42 | W | Georgia State (+1.00) | 100% | 33.00 | ||||||
| 10/17/2026 | Georgia State | 22 | #26 | @ James Madison | 7-0 | 49 | L | James Madison (-13.22) | 0% | -13.78 | ||||||
| 10/24/2026 | Georgia State | #124 | @ Arkansas State | 3-4 | W | Arkansas State (+1.10) | 53% | |||||||||
| 10/31/2026 | #157 | Coastal Carolina | 2-5 | @ Georgia State | W | Georgia State (-11.64) | 76% | |||||||||
| 11/7/2026 | Georgia State | #123 | @ App State | 4-2 | W | App State (+5.86) | 64% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | #94 | Georgia Southern | 3-4 | @ Georgia State | W | Georgia State (-3.48) | 59% | |||||||||
| 11/21/2026 | Georgia State | #146 | @ Marshall | 3-3 | W | Marshall (+12.69) | 78% | |||||||||
| 11/28/2026 | #54 | Louisiana | 5-2 | @ Georgia State | W | Georgia State (-0.81) | 52% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 18-433.4% 27-525.3% 39-322.6% 46-610.3% 510-26.1% 65-72.1% Chance of winning all 6 remaining games: 6.1% | ||||||||||||||||