| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/5/2026 | #163 | Missouri State | 2-4 | 0 | @ Texas A&M | 50 | W | Texas A&M (-27.60) | 100% | 22.40 | ||||||
| 9/12/2026 | #89 | Arizona State | 3-3 | 20 | @ Texas A&M | 48 | W | Texas A&M (-12.71) | 100% | 15.29 | ||||||
| 9/19/2026 | #6 | Kentucky | 6-1 | 31 | @ Texas A&M | 21 | L | Texas A&M (-20.78) | 0% | -30.78 | ||||||
| 9/26/2026 | Texas A&M | 6 | #5 | @ LSU | 5-2 | 35 | L | LSU (-3.81) | 0% | -25.19 | ||||||
| 10/3/2026 | #66 | Arkansas | 3-4 | 7 | @ Texas A&M | 34 | W | Texas A&M (-13.98) | 100% | 13.02 | ||||||
| 10/10/2026 | Texas A&M | 6 | #31 | @ Missouri | 5-2 | 27 | L | Missouri (-1.89) | 0% | -19.11 | ||||||
| 10/17/2026 | #214 | The Citadel | 2-5 | 0 | @ Texas A&M | 41 | W | Texas A&M (-46.39) | 100% | -5.39 | ||||||
| 10/24/2026 | Texas A&M | #8 | @ Alabama | 5-2 | L | Alabama (-15.94) | 17% | |||||||||
| 11/7/2026 | Texas A&M | #37 | @ South Carolina | 3-3 | L | South Carolina (-2.85) | 43% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | #17 | Tennessee | 6-1 | @ Texas A&M | L | Texas A&M (+2.94) | 43% | |||||||||
| 11/21/2026 | Texas A&M | #34 | @ Oklahoma | 3-3 | L | Oklahoma (-3.96) | 40% | |||||||||
| 11/28/2026 | #9 | Texas | 4-2 | @ Texas A&M | L | Texas A&M (+6.25) | 35% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 16-634.7% 25-730.8% 37-518.7% 44-810.6% 58-44.8% 69-30.4% Chance of winning all 5 remaining games: 0.4% | ||||||||||||||||