| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/7/2026 | SMU | 27 | #70 | @ Florida State | 3-4 | 24 | W | Florida State (-5.10) | 100% | 8.10 | ||||||
| 9/12/2026 | #181 | UC Davis | 4-3 | 10 | @ SMU | 56 | W | SMU (-23.47) | 100% | 22.53 | ||||||
| 9/19/2026 | SMU | 31 | #40 | @ Louisville | 4-3 | 41 | L | Louisville (-3.33) | 0% | -6.67 | ||||||
| 9/26/2026 | #163 | Missouri State | 2-4 | 24 | @ SMU | 34 | W | SMU (-27.93) | 100% | -17.93 | ||||||
| 10/3/2026 | #101 | Boston College | 3-3 | 16 | @ SMU | 25 | W | SMU (-19.36) | 100% | -10.36 | ||||||
| 10/17/2026 | #86 | Virginia | 4-3 | 13 | @ SMU | 23 | W | SMU (-4.65) | 100% | 5.35 | ||||||
| 10/24/2026 | #95 | California | 3-4 | @ SMU | W | SMU (-12.33) | 77% | |||||||||
| 10/31/2026 | SMU | #118 | @ Syracuse | 2-4 | W | Syracuse (+3.26) | 58% | |||||||||
| 11/7/2026 | #83 | Virginia Tech | 5-2 | @ SMU | W | SMU (-5.65) | 64% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | #19 | Wake Forest | 6-1 | @ SMU | L | SMU (+4.76) | 38% | |||||||||
| 11/22/2026 | SMU | #2 | @ Notre Dame | 6-1 | L | Notre Dame (-24.69) | 8% | |||||||||
| 11/28/2026 | SMU | #103 | @ Stanford | 3-4 | W | Stanford (+13.95) | 80% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 18-435.0% 29-330.8% 37-518.3% 410-210.5% 56-64.4% 611-10.7% Chance of winning all 6 remaining games: 0.7% | ||||||||||||||||