| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/5/2026 | #196 | UL Monroe | 0-6 | 13 | @ Mississippi State | 62 | W | Mississippi State (-24.73) | 100% | 24.27 | ||||||
| 9/12/2026 | Mississippi State | 38 | #60 | @ Minnesota | 4-2 | 13 | W | Minnesota (-3.59) | 100% | 28.59 | ||||||
| 9/19/2026 | Mississippi State | 41 | #37 | @ South Carolina | 3-3 | 34 | W | South Carolina (-4.59) | 100% | 11.59 | ||||||
| 9/26/2026 | #31 | Missouri | 5-2 | 24 | @ Mississippi State | 31 | W | Mississippi State (-6.67) | 100% | 0.33 | ||||||
| 10/3/2026 | #8 | Alabama | 5-2 | 56 | @ Mississippi State | 23 | L | Mississippi State (+8.83) | 0% | -24.17 | ||||||
| 10/17/2026 | ✓ | Mississippi State | 0 | #5 | @ LSU | 5-2 | 31 | L | LSU (-13.94) | 0% | -17.06 | |||||
| 10/24/2026 | #34 | Oklahoma | 3-3 | @ Mississippi State | W | Mississippi State (-1.24) | 53% | |||||||||
| 10/31/2026 | Mississippi State | #9 | @ Texas | 4-2 | L | Texas (-11.95) | 23% | |||||||||
| 11/7/2026 | #85 | Vanderbilt | 3-4 | @ Mississippi State | W | Mississippi State (-12.82) | 78% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | #27 | Auburn | 4-2 | @ Mississippi State | W | Mississippi State (-1.69) | 54% | |||||||||
| 11/21/2026 | #112 | Tennessee Tech | 6-1 | @ Mississippi State | W | Mississippi State (-30.00) | 95% | |||||||||
| 11/27/2026 | Mississippi State | #11 | @ Ole Miss | 5-1 | L | Ole Miss (-9.51) | 28% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 17-535.7% 28-430.6% 36-618.0% 49-311.0% 55-73.3% 610-21.4% Chance of winning all 6 remaining games: 1.4% | ||||||||||||||||