| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/5/2026 | #72 | Youngstown State | 6-2 | 13 | @ Kentucky | 45 | W | Kentucky (-14.48) | 100% | 17.52 | ||||||
| 9/12/2026 | #8 | Alabama | 5-2 | 45 | @ Kentucky | 17 | L | Kentucky (+7.20) | 0% | -20.80 | ||||||
| 9/19/2026 | Kentucky | 31 | #41 | @ Texas A&M | 4-3 | 21 | W | Texas A&M (-20.78) | 100% | 30.78 | ||||||
| 9/26/2026 | ✓ | #67 | South Alabama | 4-2 | 21 | @ Kentucky | 45 | W | Kentucky (-19.41) | 100% | 4.59 | |||||
| 10/3/2026 | Kentucky | 35 | #37 | @ South Carolina | 3-3 | 34 | W | South Carolina (-0.32) | 100% | 1.32 | ||||||
| 10/10/2026 | #5 | LSU | 5-2 | 34 | @ Kentucky | 35 | W | Kentucky (+6.75) | 100% | 7.75 | ||||||
| 10/17/2026 | Kentucky | 21 | #34 | @ Oklahoma | 3-3 | 13 | W | Oklahoma (-2.54) | 100% | 10.54 | ||||||
| 10/24/2026 | #85 | Vanderbilt | 3-4 | @ Kentucky | W | Kentucky (-17.82) | 86% | |||||||||
| 11/7/2026 | Kentucky | #17 | @ Tennessee | 6-1 | L | Tennessee (-3.97) | 40% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | #18 | Florida | 5-2 | @ Kentucky | W | Kentucky (-3.64) | 59% | |||||||||
| 11/21/2026 | Kentucky | #31 | @ Missouri | 5-2 | L | Missouri (-0.25) | 49% | |||||||||
| 11/28/2026 | #40 | Louisville | 4-3 | @ Kentucky | W | Kentucky (-5.72) | 64% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 19-336.6% 210-225.2% 38-424.1% 47-57.0% 511-16.4% 66-60.6% Chance of winning all 5 remaining games: 6.4% | ||||||||||||||||