| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/5/2026 | #97 | Florida Atlantic | 4-2 | 21 | @ Florida | 66 | W | Florida (-20.95) | 100% | 24.05 | ||||||
| 9/12/2026 | #129 | Campbell | 6-1 | 3 | @ Florida | 52 | W | Florida (-38.75) | 100% | 10.25 | ||||||
| 9/19/2026 | Florida | 44 | #27 | @ Auburn | 4-2 | 39 | W | Auburn (-1.19) | 100% | 6.19 | ||||||
| 9/26/2026 | #11 | Ole Miss | 5-1 | 28 | @ Florida | 52 | W | Florida (-3.02) | 100% | 20.98 | ||||||
| 10/3/2026 | Florida | 17 | #31 | @ Missouri | 5-2 | 45 | L | Missouri (+4.61) | 0% | -32.61 | ||||||
| 10/10/2026 | #37 | South Carolina | 3-3 | 38 | @ Florida | 19 | L | Florida (-9.64) | 0% | -28.64 | ||||||
| 10/17/2026 | ✓ | Florida | 27 | #9 | @ Texas | 4-2 | 24 | W | Texas (-12.00) | 100% | 15.00 | |||||
| 10/31/2026 | Florida | #13 | Georgia | 6-1 | ✓ | L | Georgia (-7.50) | 32% | ||||||||
| 11/7/2026 | #34 | Oklahoma | 3-3 | @ Florida | W | Florida (-5.44) | 63% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | Florida | #6 | @ Kentucky | 6-1 | L | Kentucky (-3.64) | 41% | |||||||||
| 11/21/2026 | #85 | Vanderbilt | 3-4 | @ Florida | W | Florida (-18.39) | 86% | |||||||||
| 11/27/2026 | Florida | #70 | @ Florida State | 3-4 | W | Florida State (+3.40) | 58% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 18-437.0% 27-528.1% 39-321.0% 46-68.9% 510-24.2% 65-70.8% Chance of winning all 5 remaining games: 4.2% | ||||||||||||||||