| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/5/2026 | #115 | Miami (OH) | 4-3 | 14 | @ Pittsburgh | 59 | W | Pittsburgh (-16.22) | 100% | 28.78 | ||||||
| 9/12/2026 | #53 | UCF | 3-3 | 7 | @ Pittsburgh | 12 | W | Pittsburgh (-11.36) | 100% | -6.36 | ||||||
| 9/17/2026 | #118 | Syracuse | 2-4 | 13 | @ Pittsburgh | 27 | W | Pittsburgh (-16.68) | 100% | -2.68 | ||||||
| 9/26/2026 | #258 | Bucknell | 1-6 | 0 | @ Pittsburgh | 59 | W | Pittsburgh (-55.79) | 100% | 3.21 | ||||||
| 10/2/2026 | Pittsburgh | 35 | #83 | @ Virginia Tech | 5-2 | 33 | W | Virginia Tech (+5.61) | 100% | -3.61 | ||||||
| 10/10/2026 | #29 | North Carolina | 4-2 | 21 | @ Pittsburgh | 17 | L | Pittsburgh (-12.10) | 0% | -16.10 | ||||||
| 10/17/2026 | ✓ | Pittsburgh | 21 | #101 | @ Boston College | 3-3 | 27 | L | Boston College (+12.78) | 0% | -18.78 | |||||
| 10/24/2026 | Pittsburgh | #3 | @ Miami | 6-0 | L | Miami (-17.56) | 15% | |||||||||
| 10/31/2026 | #96 | Georgia Tech | 2-4 | @ Pittsburgh | W | Pittsburgh (-9.88) | 73% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | #70 | Florida State | 3-4 | @ Pittsburgh | W | Pittsburgh (-5.12) | 63% | |||||||||
| 11/21/2026 | Pittsburgh | #40 | @ Louisville | 4-3 | L | Louisville (-7.06) | 33% | |||||||||
| 11/28/2026 | Pittsburgh | #95 | @ California | 3-4 | W | California (+9.03) | 71% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 18-436.5% 27-533.2% 39-314.5% 46-612.5% 55-71.7% 610-21.6% Chance of winning all 5 remaining games: 1.6% | ||||||||||||||||