| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/5/2026 | #168 | North Alabama | 4-3 | 14 | @ Arkansas | 31 | W | Arkansas (-33.73) | 100% | -16.73 | ||||||
| 9/13/2026 | Arkansas | 10 | #15 | @ Utah | 6-0 | 43 | L | Utah (-22.54) | 0% | -10.46 | ||||||
| 9/19/2026 | #13 | Georgia | 6-1 | 45 | @ Arkansas | 17 | L | Arkansas (+16.50) | 0% | -11.50 | ||||||
| 9/27/2026 | ✓ | #87 | Tulsa | 4-3 | 6 | @ Arkansas | 34 | W | Arkansas (-1.69) | 100% | 26.31 | |||||
| 10/3/2026 | Arkansas | 7 | #41 | @ Texas A&M | 4-3 | 34 | L | Texas A&M (-13.98) | 0% | -13.02 | ||||||
| 10/10/2026 | ✓ | #17 | Tennessee | 6-1 | 24 | @ Arkansas | 17 | L | Arkansas (+13.29) | 0% | 6.29 | |||||
| 10/17/2026 | Arkansas | 31 | #85 | @ Vanderbilt | 3-4 | 21 | W | Vanderbilt (-2.14) | 100% | 12.14 | ||||||
| 10/31/2026 | #31 | Missouri | 5-2 | @ Arkansas | L | Arkansas (+8.20) | 31% | |||||||||
| 11/7/2026 | Arkansas | #27 | @ Auburn | 4-2 | L | Auburn (-10.75) | 25% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | #37 | South Carolina | 3-3 | @ Arkansas | L | Arkansas (+7.16) | 33% | |||||||||
| 11/21/2026 | Arkansas | #9 | @ Texas | 4-2 | L | Texas (-21.81) | 10% | |||||||||
| 11/28/2026 | #5 | LSU | 5-2 | @ Arkansas | L | Arkansas (+19.78) | 12% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 14-841.8% 23-927.4% 35-723.8% 46-66.2% 57-50.7% 68-4<0.1% Chance of winning all 5 remaining games: <0.1% | ||||||||||||||||