| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/5/2026 | #128 | East Carolina | 3-3 | 10 | @ Alabama | 48 | W | Alabama (-12.28) | 100% | 25.72 | ||||||
| 9/12/2026 | Alabama | 45 | #6 | @ Kentucky | 6-1 | 17 | W | Kentucky (+7.20) | 100% | 20.80 | ||||||
| 9/19/2026 | #70 | Florida State | 3-4 | 36 | @ Alabama | 50 | W | Alabama (-16.65) | 100% | -2.65 | ||||||
| 9/26/2026 | #37 | South Carolina | 3-3 | 18 | @ Alabama | 49 | W | Alabama (-15.93) | 100% | 15.07 | ||||||
| 10/3/2026 | Alabama | 56 | #28 | @ Mississippi State | 4-2 | 23 | W | Mississippi State (+8.83) | 100% | 24.17 | ||||||
| 10/10/2026 | #13 | Georgia | 6-1 | 20 | @ Alabama | 17 | L | Alabama (-6.42) | 0% | -9.42 | ||||||
| 10/17/2026 | Alabama | 10 | #17 | @ Tennessee | 6-1 | 26 | L | Tennessee (+11.28) | 0% | -27.28 | ||||||
| 10/24/2026 | #41 | Texas A&M | 4-3 | @ Alabama | W | Alabama (-15.94) | 83% | |||||||||
| 11/7/2026 | Alabama | #5 | @ LSU | 5-2 | L | LSU (-3.30) | 42% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | Alabama | #85 | @ Vanderbilt | 3-4 | W | Vanderbilt (+22.04) | 90% | |||||||||
| 11/21/2026 | #170 | Chattanooga | 4-3 | @ Alabama | W | Alabama (-51.71) | 99% | |||||||||
| 11/28/2026 | #27 | Auburn | 4-2 | @ Alabama | W | Alabama (-16.15) | 83% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 19-349.6% 210-226.0% 38-421.0% 47-53.3% 56-60.2% 65-7<0.1% Chance of winning all 5 remaining games: 26.0% | ||||||||||||||||