| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/5/2026 | #164 | Idaho State | 4-3 | 29 | @ Utah State | 17 | L | Utah State (-14.40) | 0% | -26.40 | ||||||
| 9/12/2026 | Utah State | 14 | #62 | @ Washington | 4-3 | 16 | L | Washington (-25.69) | 0% | 23.69 | ||||||
| 9/19/2026 | Utah State | 0 | #15 | @ Utah | 6-0 | 33 | L | Utah (-29.57) | 0% | -3.43 | ||||||
| 9/26/2026 | #126 | Troy | 3-3 | 10 | @ Utah State | 21 | W | Utah State (-6.46) | 100% | 4.54 | ||||||
| 10/3/2026 | Utah State | 18 | #20 | @ Boise State | 5-1 | 37 | L | Boise State (-17.75) | 0% | -1.25 | ||||||
| 10/10/2026 | #139 | Washington State | 1-6 | 16 | @ Utah State | 17 | W | Utah State (-3.11) | 100% | -2.11 | ||||||
| 10/24/2026 | Utah State | #46 | @ Texas State | 3-3 | L | Texas State (-14.64) | 19% | |||||||||
| 10/31/2026 | #99 | Colorado State | 2-4 | @ Utah State | W | Utah State (-4.27) | 61% | |||||||||
| 11/8/2026 | #76 | Fresno State | 4-3 | @ Utah State | L | Utah State (+2.62) | 43% | |||||||||
| 11/15/2026 | Utah State | #81 | @ San Diego State | 3-4 | L | San Diego State (-5.75) | 36% | |||||||||
| 11/22/2026 | Utah State | #30 | @ Oregon State | 5-2 | L | Oregon State (-23.65) | 9% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 14-736.3% 23-833.8% 35-616.2% 42-910.6% 56-52.9% 67-40.2% Chance of winning all 5 remaining games: 0.2% | ||||||||||||||||