| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/5/2026 | Oregon State | 20 | #16 | @ Houston | 6-1 | 33 | L | Houston (-16.19) | 0% | 3.19 | ||||||
| 9/12/2026 | #10 | Texas Tech | 6-0 | 35 | @ Oregon State | 24 | L | Oregon State (+20.34) | 0% | 9.34 | ||||||
| 9/20/2026 | #130 | Montana | 5-3 | 17 | @ Oregon State | 52 | W | Oregon State (-2.06) | 100% | 32.94 | ||||||
| 9/27/2026 | Oregon State | 33 | #195 | @ UTEP | 1-6 | 7 | W | UTEP (+10.35) | 100% | 15.65 | ||||||
| 10/3/2026 | Oregon State | 56 | #99 | @ Colorado State | 2-4 | 26 | W | Colorado State (+4.83) | 100% | 25.17 | ||||||
| 10/10/2026 | #81 | San Diego State | 3-4 | 14 | @ Oregon State | 66 | W | Oregon State (-12.15) | 100% | 39.85 | ||||||
| 10/17/2026 | #139 | Washington State | 1-6 | 30 | @ Oregon State | 48 | W | Oregon State (-21.87) | 100% | -3.87 | ||||||
| 10/31/2026 | Oregon State | #76 | @ Fresno State | 4-3 | W | Fresno State (+10.70) | 74% | |||||||||
| 11/8/2026 | #46 | Texas State | 3-3 | @ Oregon State | W | Oregon State (-9.35) | 72% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | Oregon State | #20 | @ Boise State | 5-1 | L | Boise State (-2.36) | 44% | |||||||||
| 11/22/2026 | #107 | Utah State | 2-4 | @ Oregon State | W | Oregon State (-23.65) | 91% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 18-345.2% 27-427.0% 39-221.6% 46-55.8% 55-60.3% Chance of winning all 4 remaining games: 21.6% | ||||||||||||||||