| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/5/2026 | #120 | Wyoming | 4-3 | 13 | @ Colorado State | 35 | W | Colorado State (-1.40) | 100% | 20.60 | ||||||
| 9/12/2026 | #177 | Southern Utah | 3-4 | 24 | @ Colorado State | 58 | W | Colorado State (-8.45) | 100% | 25.55 | ||||||
| 9/19/2026 | #7 | BYU | 6-0 | 41 | @ Colorado State | 23 | L | Colorado State (+13.38) | 0% | -4.62 | ||||||
| 9/26/2026 | ✓ | Colorado State | 45 | #39 | @ UTSA | 6-1 | 59 | L | UTSA (-12.88) | 0% | -1.12 | |||||
| 10/3/2026 | #30 | Oregon State | 5-2 | 56 | @ Colorado State | 26 | L | Colorado State (+4.83) | 0% | -25.17 | ||||||
| 10/16/2026 | Colorado State | 27 | #46 | @ Texas State | 3-3 | 66 | L | Texas State (-9.12) | 0% | -29.88 | ||||||
| 10/24/2026 | #81 | San Diego State | 3-4 | @ Colorado State | W | Colorado State (-0.62) | 52% | |||||||||
| 10/31/2026 | Colorado State | #107 | @ Utah State | 2-4 | L | Utah State (-4.27) | 39% | |||||||||
| 11/7/2026 | #20 | Boise State | 5-1 | @ Colorado State | L | Colorado State (+16.58) | 16% | |||||||||
| 11/15/2026 | Colorado State | #139 | @ Washington State | 1-6 | L | Washington State (-7.01) | 33% | |||||||||
| 11/22/2026 | Colorado State | #76 | @ Fresno State | 4-3 | L | Fresno State (-9.26) | 28% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 14-734.4% 23-833.0% 35-616.7% 42-911.8% 56-53.8% 67-40.3% Chance of winning all 5 remaining games: 0.3% | ||||||||||||||||